The Problem With Most Western Battery Metals Investors
The talking points are loud. China controls much of refining, processing, and midstream capacity. Security of supply is the buzzword in every deck. Then you look at the checks Western funds actually write into African exploration and early de-risking, and the number rounds to zero. The gap between speeches and capital is the whole story.
Snapshot:
Plenty of panels about resilience, almost no appetite for real exploration risk in Africa. Mandate excuses. ESG theater. A comfort zone that mirrors the GP’s own background. Meanwhile, pragmatic competitors secure tonnage by moving first and treating local partners as equals.
Reality Check
- Exploration Is Where Supply Starts.
If you will not fund geology, you are not serious about supply. Buying press releases about “responsible sourcing” does not create ore bodies.
- Refining Dominance Did Not Happen by Accident.
It came from long-term offtakes, prepayments, and build-operate runs that locked in flow. Talk is cheap. Contracts and capex are not.
- Africa Is Not a Monolith.
Country risk varies, assets vary, partners vary. Treating the continent as one red box is lazy, and it looks like fear dressed up as policy.
The Mandate and ESG Excuses That Kill Real Deals
What Gets Said |
What It Really Means |
“Out of mandate for now.” |
We set a policy that keeps us in OECD zip codes, then act surprised when we have no upstream access. |
“ESG threshold not met.” |
We use ESG as a veto while refusing to fund the work that would lift standards on site. |
“Disproportionate political risk.” |
We do not know the instruments that price this risk, or we do not want to learn them. |
“We prefer late stage.” |
We want Tier 1 certainty at exploration multiples. That is fantasy pricing. |
Bias Is Doing the Screening
Let us call it straight. Much of the industry still treats African operators as box tickers or local fixers, not as equal partners. Warm intros flow to founders who look and sound like the GP. Cold intros from African geos struggle to even get a reply. The result is a filter that privileges familiarity over field work. It is not just inefficient, it is exclusion disguised as caution.
What Pragmatic Players Do Differently
Fund the Drill Bit
Small checks into mapping, geochem, and phase one drilling with upside via royalties, streams, or step-up equity. Real options, not speeches.
Lock Offtake With Prepay
Binding offtake and prepayment facilities that bridge to construction. Security on receivables and inventory, not wishful thinking.
Treat Locals as Equals
JVs with clear voting rules, board seats, profit share, and community trusts with a real carry. Respect goes both ways, and it shows on site.
Use the Right Risk Tools
Political risk insurance, escrowed cash flows, step-in rights, and ring-fenced SPVs. Price the risk instead of hiding behind it.
ESG That Actually Improves Outcomes
- Fund the Fixes.
Budget for water management, tailings integrity, biodiversity baselines, and worker safety from day one. Tie coupons or royalties to performance milestones.
- Local Content With Teeth.
Training pipelines and supplier development tied to offtake tenure. Publish the plan, not just the pledge.
- Community Economics.
Revenue share via trusts and documented benefit agreements that survive board changes.
- Transparent Data.
Third-party monitoring with public dashboards that cover environment and social indicators alongside grade and recovery.
Risk Is Real, a Blanket Veto Is Lazy
Yes, permits can slip, governments can change, and logistics can bite. That is why you structure. Use staged capital, clear conditions precedent, dual controls on cash, and step down risk as drill results land. The tools exist. The question is whether a fund will learn and use them, or keep repeating the same talking points while competitors secure tonnage.
If You Actually Want Supply, Do This
- Allocate a Real Slice to Exploration.
Even a small portfolio sleeve into Africa across nickel, copper, graphite, manganese, and lithium changes your future options.
- Back Operators With Field Time.
Prioritize teams with verifiable work on site, not just polished pitch decks. Pay for site visits and independent checks.
- Offer Offtake Plus Capital.
Pair prepay with a clear path to processing or tolling. You are buying certainty, not just metal.
- Build Long-Term Partnerships.
Local equity, board representation, and shared upside beat extractive contracts every time.
Western funds say they want resilient supply chains while refusing to fund the start of those chains where the ore sits. That is not strategy, that is optics. The pragmatic players move fast, share upside with local partners, and write checks where others write memos. If you keep waiting for someone else to make Africa safe for you, do not be surprised when you are bidding for scraps later.
Editorial. This piece challenges common investor behavior. It does not paint all Western funds with one brush. There are serious teams funding exploration and building fair partnerships. The critique targets the majority that prefers headlines over geology.