How To Spot A Fake Oil Deal: Eight Practical Tests

How To Spot A Fake Oil Deal: Eight Practical Tests

Many EN590, Jet A1, Mazut and crude oil “opportunities” that circulate by email and messaging apps collapse the moment a professional trader, banker or credit officer looks at them. The common pattern is obvious: unrealistic volumes, extreme discounts, layered broker chains, weak documentation and unconventional payment mechanics. This guide sets out eight practical tests, moving from the most obvious red flags to the more subtle signals that experienced desks watch for when screening oil and product proposals.

Real oil trading is driven by term contracts, visible differentials to benchmarks, storage and shipping capacity, hedging and credit limits. Margins are tight and competition is intense. There is no parallel market where unregulated intermediaries with no balance sheet routinely secure hundreds of thousands of tonnes per month at double digit discounts to Platts or Argus. Propositions that claim otherwise should be treated as a warning, not as a shortcut into physical trading.

From Obvious Red Flags To Subtle Warning Signs

The methods below can be applied in sequence. Early filters remove deals that are clearly outside market reality. Later points deal with more nuanced questions around risk, credit and operational capacity that professional counterparties routinely ask before they allocate time, credit lines or working capital.

1. Unrealistic Volumes And Discounts

  • Promised volumes such as “500,000 MT per month” or “several million barrels per month” for buyers with no visible track record or infrastructure.
  • Discounts expressed as large percentages below Platts or Argus instead of modest dollar-per-barrel or dollar-per-tonne differentials tied to location and quality.
  • Claims of guaranteed, recurring margins that ignore freight, storage, credit costs and competition from established trading houses.

2. Unverifiable Counterparties And Documentation

  • “Refineries”, “allocation holders” or “end buyers” that cannot be verified beyond basic websites, generic certificates and free email accounts.
  • No audited financial statements, no credible group structure, no regulatory presence and no clear history of physical trading activity.
  • Heavy reliance on soft offers, NCNDAs and informal letters that do not sit inside any recognised trading or risk system.

Eight Tests For Spotting A Fake Oil Deal

Test What You See In A Fake Deal What You See In A Real Deal
1) Volumes And Pricing Large, recurring volumes for small or unknown entities, with double digit discounts to benchmarks and guaranteed margins. No clear link to actual demand, logistics or balance sheet capacity. Volumes that match the buyer’s infrastructure and track record. Pricing expressed as a differential to Platts or Argus at a defined location, with spreads that reflect competition, freight and quality.
2) Counterparties And Identity Sellers and buyers that cannot be tied to real corporate groups, regulated entities or operational assets. Contact details point to generic addresses and personal accounts. Producers, refiners, trading houses and industrial buyers that appear in industry sources, have audited accounts and can be traced to real offices, terminals or assets.
3) Broker Chains Multiple brokers in sequence, each claiming to sit between the “seller” and “real buyer” without any storage, shipping, credit or operational role. Commission structures dominate the discussion. Direct relationships between principal counterparties, or at most a small number of intermediaries with clear mandates and an identifiable function such as origination or distribution.
4) Ownership, Storage And Logistics Vague statements about product “in tank” or “ready for injection” without specific terminal names, tank numbers, pipeline rights or chartering plans. No contracts for storage or freight are produced. Clear documentation of who holds title at each stage, where the product sits, which terminal issues documents and how it moves through tanks, pipelines and vessels under named contracts.
5) Payment Mechanics And Jargon References to KTT, “screens”, “blocked funds” and screenshot-based proof rather than standard SWIFT payments, letters of credit and established Incoterms. Payment steps are inconsistent with bank practice. Conventional payment mechanics: TT wires through SWIFT and domestic systems, trade LCs, standby LCs or documented prepayment structures that banks and traders recognise and can confirm.
6) Fees And Cost Sharing Requests for “registration”, “inspection” or “procedure” fees from brokers or small intermediaries before any credible contract, title or logistics plan exists. Pressure to pay quickly to avoid “losing the slot”. Inspection, storage and freight costs tied to actual services and payable under contracts between principals and service providers. Cost allocation reflects standard industry practice and is visible to both sides.
7) Risk, Credit And Compliance No discussion of sanctions, KYC, credit limits, margining or exposure. Silence on how the deal fits into any bank or trader’s risk framework. Focus remains on price, commission and speed. Early engagement on sanctions checks, counterparty KYC, documentary standards, country risk and credit lines. Questions around how the trade will be hedged and how exposure will be monitored.
8) Professional Questioning Inability or unwillingness to answer basic questions about benchmark references, differentials, issuing and confirming banks, chartering terms, demurrage or quality standards. Reversion to buzzwords. Clear, precise answers on pricing formulas, delivery points, instruments, documentation flows and operational responsibilities. Even where information is confidential, the response follows the logic of real trading.

Using These Tests In Practice

In a professional setting, these tests are applied in minutes. If a proposal fails on volumes and pricing alone, there is no need to spend time on further detail. Where early points appear plausible, the later questions around ownership, storage, payment mechanics and risk management quickly reveal whether a deal sits inside the same market as banks and trading houses, or in a separate channel built around fee extraction from unqualified intermediaries.

Early Filters
Start with size, discount level and counterparty identity. If the numbers imply margins that seasoned traders would immediately compete away, or if counterparties cannot be tied to real assets and financial statements, the file does not merit further work. Most fraudulent or non-viable deals fall at this stage.
Deeper Screening
For proposals that pass a basic sense check, move on to title, logistics, instruments and risk. Ask how product flows from producer to end buyer, how payment flows back, and how exposure is controlled. Real transactions have clear answers to those questions. If the responses remain superficial or contradictory, the safest decision is to disengage.

Oil Deal Red Flags: Common Questions

Are all intermediaries in oil trading a problem?
No. There are credible intermediaries who introduce legitimate buyers and sellers and occasionally add value around documentation or logistics. The concern is with long, opaque broker chains that add no capital, no operational capability and no compliance footprint. These structures are rarely attached to real barrels or products.
Can a small firm ever participate in physical oil flows?
Smaller firms can participate, but usually at a scale that matches their balance sheet, credit lines and operational resources. That may mean serving niche markets, partnering with established traders, or focusing on narrower, well-documented segments rather than seeking very large, heavily discounted flows through informal channels.
Does a request for trade finance make a suspect deal more credible?
No. Trade finance structures depend on the quality of the underlying flows. Requests to fund trades with unclear title, unverifiable counterparties and unrealistic margins usually reflect a misunderstanding of how banks assess risk, or an attempt to bring a third party into a structure that is not commercially sound.
What is the safest general policy for unsolicited oil offers?
Apply strict initial filters and only allocate time to counterparties and structures that pass them. That means requiring verifiable corporate information, realistic volumes and pricing, clear documentation, and payment mechanics that align with mainstream practice. Anything else should be treated with caution and usually ignored.

Where Financely Focuses In Energy And Trade Finance

Financely works with established producers, traders, distributors and industrial buyers that can document real flows, collateral and cash generation. In energy and commodities, that includes structured trade facilities, borrowing base and receivables solutions, and project linked capital raising where the underlying assets and contracts withstand lender and investor scrutiny. Hypothetical oil deals based on extreme discounts, broker cascades and unverified counterparties sit outside that remit.

Our role is to help sponsors and operating businesses convert credible commercial positions into bankable structures for banks, funds and private credit providers. That involves disciplined work on documentation, risk allocation, covenants and monitoring, rather than attempts to engineer financing around speculative or non-compliant arrangements.

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